The Objective Advisor

On October 12, 2022, there were very few comments suggesting that a new bull market was in thethroes of being born as the S&P 500 opened at 3,590.83 and closed at 3,577.03.

After all, inflation was still running hot even though the Federal Reserve (Fed) began its rate-hiking campaign on March 16, 2022, by raising rates by 25 basis points (0.25%) and moving to a 50-basispoint hike on May 5, 2022, as it tried to quell inflationary pressures. By mid-June, a series of 75- basis-point hikes were introduced as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) peaked in June at 9.1%.

With stock valuations elevated after such a strong first half, earnings growth will be key to holding, or potentially building on these gains. LPL Research believes stocks have gotten a bit over their skis, but earnings season may not be the catalyst for a pullback in the near term given all signs point to another solid earnings season and stocks have mostly performed well during the peak weeks of reporting season in recent years. We may not get an increase in second-half estimates over the next couple of months — that's a lot to ask — but we should get a few points of upside and double-digit earnings growth for the second quarter on the back of technology strength.

Many of us spend decades looking forward to retirement—the day when we no longer have to work. Yet at the same time, work is often the foundation of a meaningful life. It gives structure to our days, opportunities to contribute, social connection, and a sense that we are needed.

This tension is not just philosophical. Research has consistently shown a significant statistical correlation between men retiring and an increased risk of early death. To be clear, retirement itself is not the cause—but the sudden loss of purpose, routine, and identity that can accompany it matters deeply. When meaningful engagement disappears, health and well-being often follow.

When we talk about the future, the focus usually lands on numbers: savings targets, performance reports, next steps. Those matter, of course, but they aren’t the ultimate point.

Part of the purpose of preparing for what’s ahead is to enjoy future freedom—stepping back from the noise and finding a sense of calm and direction that feels right to you. Every week brings new developments—from evolving conflicts to policy shifts and economic updates that influence how we envision the road ahead. The headlines may change quickly, but your focus and consistency are what drive lasting progress.